ISPI MED Dossier edited by Annalisa Perteghella

On June 18th, the Islamic Republic of Iran will hold its thirteenth presidential election. Out of nearly 600 candidates, only seven have been granted the possibility to run by the Guardian Council. As Ebrahim Raisi emerges as the likely front-runner, official polls suggest record low participation.

How will the election result affect the ongoing US nuclear negotiations in Vienna? What impact will it have on the dialogue with the United States and nascent talks with Gulf countries? How will it affect the economy? Will a Raisi win steer Iran’s foreign policy further East? How will it affect Iran’s relationship with proxies and allies?

Iran’s Presidential Elections and a Complex Generational Transition | Nicola Pedde, IGS

Us-Iran Ties Far Off Even if the JCPOA Is Restored | Barbara Slavin, Atlantic Council

Iran Elections: Testing the Waters of Regional Dialogue | Sanam Vakil, Chatham House

Iran’s Economic Uncertainties, Between Elections and Nuclear Negotiations | Sara Bazoobandi, ISPI and Marie Curie fellow at GIGA

Iran Looking East: A Shifting Balance of Power in Tehran’s Foreign Policy | Hamidreza Azizi, SWP

How Can Iran’s Raisi Engage With Iraq’s Defiant Paramilitaries? | Tamer Badawi, CARPO and Al Sharq Strategic Research

Iran: A Testing Ground for the European Union’s Strategic Autonomy? | Annalisa Perteghella, ISPI